Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.033464 0.038924 0.044929 0.052017 0.060143 0.069161 0.079917
2025-09-28 0.025118 0.032192 0.040687 0.051608 0.065234 0.081637 0.102837
2025-10-05 0.020963 0.029211 0.039891 0.054650 0.074423 0.099889 0.135051
2025-10-12 0.017605 0.026426 0.038635 0.056616 0.082238 0.117219 0.168327
2025-10-19 0.014137 0.022732 0.035379 0.055117 0.084861 0.127649 0.193398
2025-10-26 0.011770 0.020149 0.033183 0.054616 0.088567 0.139732 0.221930
2025-11-02 0.009696 0.017609 0.030575 0.052960 0.090097 0.148509 0.246251
2025-11-09 0.008124 0.015595 0.028446 0.051658 0.091846 0.157583 0.271751
2025-11-16 0.007051 0.014249 0.027199 0.051582 0.095477 0.169882 0.303531
2025-11-23 0.005987 0.012722 0.025382 0.050199 0.096584 0.177946 0.328868
2025-11-30 0.005546 0.012321 0.025556 0.052432 0.104343 0.198142 0.377049
2025-12-07 0.004919 0.011430 0.024654 0.052474 0.107993 0.211316 0.413894
2025-12-14 0.004218 0.010276 0.023087 0.051052 0.108788 0.219562 0.442997
2025-12-21 0.003698 0.009428 0.022026 0.050511 0.111244 0.231175 0.479632
2025-12-28 0.003519 0.009336 0.022570 0.053419 0.121057 0.257989 0.548267
2026-01-04 0.003279 0.009053 0.022643 0.055305 0.128930 0.281695 0.612970
2026-01-11 0.002846 0.008208 0.021301 0.053821 0.129341 0.290220 0.647644
2026-01-18 0.002531 0.007606 0.020440 0.053321 0.131848 0.303309 0.692958
2026-01-25 0.002198 0.006890 0.019185 0.051697 0.131574 0.310380 0.726076
2026-02-01 0.001926 0.006292 0.018135 0.050423 0.131943 0.318845 0.762932
2026-02-08 0.001740 0.005910 0.017590 0.050347 0.135167 0.333961 0.815855
2026-02-15 0.001527 0.005397 0.016610 0.048995 0.135067 0.341430 0.852081
2026-02-22 0.001465 0.005353 0.016929 0.051177 0.144155 0.371218 0.942534